Sunday, August 24, 2014

YES! I Also Say So That Investing = Gambling

Investing = Gambling
Today, there is an article in the The Sunday Times that caught my eye. It can be found at the Invest section with the title of "Investing is a bit of a gamble" (by Melissa Tan). I totally agreed with her view that investing is kind of like gambling, but so does most other things in life. As long as we are dealing with anything in the future, we are effectively gambling as tomorrow might never come, in the first place. 

I especially like Melissa's sharing of the dice game played during her secondary school math lesson. I am extracting the gist directly from The Sunday Times here :

"My teacher, Mrs Bala, would roll a die. If the number that came up was not a five, those in the game got to add the number to their pot of theoretical gold. If the number five did come up, though, everyone still playing would have all their balances wiped out. It was a lesson on basic probability but what I recall more vividly is that one of my classmates chose to opt out after the third round with only 6 points. She ended up winning (the game)."

Three things I've learnt from the article :

1. It is impossible to time the market (share movement) but it is important to have an exit strategy (i.e. when to sell the shares) in place even before we buy the share. Oh, for the loooooong term value investors, the exit strategy might be NEVER. So be it. 

2. It is important to invest only with the fund that we are prepared to lose completely.

3. ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) could be the Holy Grail for retail investor.

Hence, let's continue to gamble (invest, I mean), regardless! ;-)



  1. This 80+ Great Grand Pa who lives long enough, survive long enough in the different markets like stocks, Gold, Crude Oil, and forex and not suffering from dementia at this advance age is telling you the difference!

    Read? Grand old investor and gambler???

    Tell us what is the difference after reading?

    1. Cw8888 : errrrr... Still gambling to me as the yield (dividend, I believed) is no guarantee.. Just that maybe the value investor tends to lose lesser but that's because they paid it with time!? Just my thinking.. ;-)

    2. Until you have the right thinking, your next 10 years in the market could be counted as your initial few years. Cheem?


    3. Cw8888 : ya very cheem! Maybe I need 10 years to understand unless uncle cw88888 is kind enough to enlighten me further lor! Lol


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